New Orleans (47 - 35) | Expert Pick 100% ····················>< 0% | Sacramento (38 - 44) |
Playoff Pels V Play-In Kings
The Pelicans: The Pels have been marred by injury this year with Luka Doncic
sitting on the sidelines for a lengthy period alongside Aaron Gordon and they’ve
had to dig deep at times to keep themselves in this deep playoff hunt. Randle
was sent out, despite carrying them for periods, and Grayson too. Camara was
given up on but has now come back to haunt his former GM and now we see Rudy
Gobert take a seat again too. They just need that break where they see everyone
on the court for an extended period, and maybe that time will be the playoffs? They’re
still a 34-24 team, great record, and 4th in the West with potential
to be even higher given they have done this without the names mentioned above,
and down the stretch as long as Luka is on the court then anything can happen,
truly. They have the potency to beat down on any team and they have the defensive
side of the ball, too, when they are healthy and we might just see some playoff
upsets if they can get a high enough spot to really put pressure on a West that
is far more open than it has been in the past few years. Can the pesky Kings
dint that hope? The Kings: The Kings have been playing catch up all year in the finance
department after they didn’t make the most of being above the high water mark
early on and it’s meant that Klemm hasn’t been able to make his customary
shuffling moves to try and adjust. For a period there, this looked like a
blessing in disguise as the Kings were the fairytale team reeling off 11 wins
in a row despite requesting a replacement C player every single week of the
year and carrying only 13 players all year. They have been mostly lucky with
injuries if you discount Mitch Robinson, whom they traded for while already
injured, although FVV is out this week and their incumbent starting C all year has
been shelved for portions recently, too. Klemm though dabbled around with what
he had at his disposal instead of shooting himself in the foot and really got
that team flying. Unfortunately, it also collapsed nearly as hard as it rose as
they have now only won a single game from their last 11. Yes. They’re 1-10 in
the last 11, but 12-10 of their last 22. So which Sactown shows up this week as
they now only cling to the last play in spot by 1 game after it looked like
they might strike gold and rise into the genuine playoff spots for a while
there. If you take out the win streak, this same team is still only 15-32 on
the year, which is a stark difference, but Klemm will always go for gold and
this bunch seem to have connected, at least at times. Go back to that win
streak Klemm! Use that line up and settings combo! (Disclaimer: Doesn’t know if
he changed off that line up and/or playbook.) The Projected Match-Ups: C: Chris Boucher Vs Mitchell Robinson With Gobert missing, Boucher is thrown into the fire as the
starting C in New Orleans for the first time. He started all his games in
Portland earlier this year averaging 8 points, 8 rebounds and 2 blocks per
game, but it’s a different regime in New Orleans. He gets the season debut game
from Mitch Robinson as the match up here and this means it could be literally
anything. He played 1 preseason game, for Milwaukee, which saw him have 6
points and 5 rebounds, but he’s likely to be bigger than that in a Klemm scheme
against a softer opponent like Boucher. PF: DeAndre Hunter Vs Cameron Johnson Hunter has started all games he’s played for the Pels after
coming over from Cleveland, and he’s been much more proficient in a Pelicans
team that required more scoring than his role in Cleveland. 14 points, 5
rebounds, 2 assists and a steal per game in New Orleans and he’s a much more
proficient defender than Randle was, too. He gets the easy match up with Cam
Johnson in this one. Cam has started 29 of 33 games he’s played for the Kings
and averaged only 9 points and 6 rebounds. If he’s not scoring, what is he
doing out there for you? Hunter should be all over this match up. SF: Garrison Mathews Vs Bogdan
Bogdanovic The Pels love running a role
player who can shoot at the 3, with Gordon out, and Mathews has unfortunately
had to play that role a number of weeks this year. 9 points, 3 rebounds and 3
assists per game as a starter and 47% from deep. He’s slow like molasses for a
smaller guy though and will be beat up on defence if the D can target him.
Bogdan will do just that. The Kings going run and gun, and Bog has averaged 21
a game this year in that role with 4 rebounds and 2 assists. He’s going to
feast on Mathews, you’d imagine. SG: Russell Westbrook Vs Christian
Braun Westy has been a picture of consistency this year in
whatever role he has been required to play, and he’s been maybe best as that
starting off guard, too. He only shifted there this week but in 2 games this
week he’s already pouring in 27 points a night. As a starter at PG he only
averaged 16 points, so this is a great result so far. He’ll get the defensive
minded Braun on him, but that might not slow him much as Braun probably goes to
Luka, leaving Westy to beat up Herro or Bog. Braun meanwhile has started most
the year, and mostly at this SG spot where he’s been quiet, not yet ready for
the NSL break out, averaging 6 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists. He’ll try play
a role on Luka you imagine but that’s a tall order. PG: Luka
Doncic Vs Tyler Herro Luka has not missed
a beat this year when on the court even though quicker types tend to be
favoured. He has averaged 31 a night with 6 rebounds and 5 assists and leads
this well rounded team from the front. They need his scoring and he might be
the difference every time they step out. He’ll probably get the defensive match
up from Braun, but if he gets Herro, he’s going to have his way, even if Herro
might do the same back. Herro has averaged 26 a night as a starting PG with 4
rebounds and 5 assists, and he’s all set for an even bigger workload next
season too. No FVV means less minutes eaten from him, too. Bench V Bench: Spencer Dinwiddie, Quinten Post,
Torrey Craig, Tyus Jones, Karlo Matkovic Both benches have their highs and lows. The Pels Dinwiddie
and the Kings Trent will carry the scoring workloads in true fashion. Rookie big
men everywhere in Post, Matkovic and Reese. The experience of Jones and Craig
compared to Sasser and Anderson might just be the difference in impact. |
|
|
|
|
X-Factor |
---|
-
The XFactor in this one isn’t so much a stat, or
who is playing, it’s who isn’t. Rudy Gobert. What does that mean in the break
down of the game? And how does it pair with the debut of Mitch Robinson? These
questions are the deciding factor. Mitch’s debut pails if Gobert is playing,
but he’s not, so does Mitch come in and dominate? We don’t even know what to
expect from the big man, but he’s going to have every opportunity without Rudy to
be THE big man in this one. |
Injury Report | |
---|---|
Injured Players: Yuki Kawamura (Shoulder/Hamstring) - 5 NBA Games missed this season Charles Bassey (Knee) - 15 NBA Games missed this season Grant Williams (Knee Acl) - 51 NBA Games missed this season Fred VanVleet (Hamstring/Knee/Personal/Ankle) - 19 NBA Games missed this season Returning Players: Mitchell Robinson (returning from Ankle) - 58 NBA Games missed this season | Injured Players: Bennedict Mathurin (Illness/Wrist) - 5 NBA Games missed this season Kai Jones (Quad) - 5 NBA Games missed this season Tre Mann (Back/Injury Management) - 53 NBA Games missed this season Aaron Gordon (Calf/Injury Management/Ankle) - 29 NBA Games missed this season Rudy Gobert (Back) - 9 NBA Games missed this season |
Prediction |
---|
Head to Head Prediction: It’s going to be a battle. The missing Gobert on top of
Gordon is going to bring this game back to closer than you might expect as
Mitch should be the dominant big man on the court with all PFs also being only
outside paint guys. This should be a massive positive for the Kings, but will
it be enough? Pels by 2. |
Comments (2) | |||
Nenjabin 03/19 08:38 pm | Big Mitch! | ||
KLEMMELO 03/18 01:52 am | Elite write up OG! Super excited for this one… As much as I don’t like to take any Joy from catching “El Capitan’” boys some what crippled… I’ll pretty much take whatever I can get at this stage *Shrugs* Good luck Leeroy-Son! |